Population Division - Population trends

Technical paper on data and methods for the production of population estimates

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 10 Sep 2020 19:38:00 +0000

Data and methods for the production of national population estimates: An overview and analysis of available metadata

In its technical paper series, the Population Division publishes substantive and methodological research on population issues carried out by experts both within and outside the United Nations system. The series promotes scientific understanding of population issues among Governments, national and international organizations, research institutions and individuals engaged in social and economic planning, research and training.

Population estimates can be produced using a variety of data sources and methods. This paper offers a concise review of the methods that are commonly used by national statistical offices to produce annual time series of population estimates by age and sex. These methods depend on two critical components: an initial population count and a method of time adjustment. Both components play a crucial role in determining the overall quality of population estimates. The paper formulates specific recommendations concerning best practices for the production of national population estimates. Drawing on information from various sources used by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) to produce its biennial edition of global population estimates, the World Population Prospects, the paper also provides an overview of data availability and current practices in the production of official population estimates around the world.

Full paper

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Expert group meeting on methods for the World Population Prospects 2021 and beyond

MSTOCKTO — Mon, 06 Apr 2020 16:22:00 +0000

Monday, 06 April 2020 - 10:00am to Wednesday, 08 April 2020 - 5:00pm

Overview

World Population Prospects (WPP), the United Nations population estimates and projections prepared by DESA’s Population Division since 1951, form a comprehensive set of demographic data to assess population trends at the global, regional and national levels. Widely considered to be the world’s most authoritative dataset on population levels, trends and characteristics, WPP is used for calculating one-third of the indicators used to track progress towards the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Starting in 2021, WPP will estimate and project the population by single age for each year (“1x1”), replacing the current “5x5” approach.

In order to achieve this objective, the Population Division is organizing an online expert group meeting on “Methods for the World Population Prospects 2021 and beyond” from 6 and 8 April 2020. The purpose of the meeting is to bring together experts to discuss and share experiences in the use of methods to develop robust annual time series of various demographic indicators (child, adult and old-age mortality, fertility, migration), incorporate uncertainty in population estimates, produce models to derive mortality and fertility age patterns, and reconcile the various demographic components of change to reconstruct coherent populations by age, period and cohort from 1950 to 2020.

Documents

Concept note

Agenda

List of participants

Sessions

Report

Expert group meeting on fertility, changing population trends and development: Challenges and opportunities for the future

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 02 May 2019 18:54:00 +0000

Monday, 21 October 2013 - 10:00am to Tuesday, 22 October 2013 - 5:00pm

Overview

This expert group meeting addresses key questions about fertility patterns and trends, implications for age structure changes and other population trends and effective policy responses. The meeting results will inform preparations for the forty-seventh session of the Commission on Population and Development in 2014, the theme of which is the assessment of the status of implementation of the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development.

Documents

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Commission on Population and Development, twenty-seventh session (1994)

MSTOCKTO — Tue, 22 Jan 2019 21:57:00 +0000

Monday, 28 March 1994 - 10:00am to Thursday, 31 March 1994 - 6:00pm

Monitoring of world population trends and policies, with special emphasis on refugees

Bureau members

Mr. Shigemi Kono (Japan) - Asia-Pacific Group (Chair)

Ms. Pauline Knight (Jamaica) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. András Klinger (Hungary) - Eastern-European Group (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Jenny Gierveld (Netherlands) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Ahmed Yousif Mohamed (Sudan) - African Group (Vice-Chair)

Report of the Commission on its Twenty-seventh session

Commission on Population and Development, twenty-eighth session (1995)

MSTOCKTO — Tue, 22 Jan 2019 21:54:00 +0000

Tuesday, 21 February 1995 - 10:00am to Thursday, 02 March 1995 - 6:00pm

Monitoring of world population trends and policies

Bureau Members

Ms. Ruth Archibald (Canada) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Chair)
Mr. Jose Gomez de Leon (Mexico) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Jerzy Z. Holzer (Poland) - Eastern-European Group (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Abderrazak Azaiez (Tunisia) - African Group (Vice-Chair)
Mr. V. K. Shunglu (India) - Asia-Pacific Group (Vice-Chair)

Report of the Commission on its twenty-eighth session

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Commission on Population and Development

Commission on Population and Development, forty-sixth session (2013)

MSTOCKTO — Tue, 22 Jan 2019 19:48:00 +0000

Monday, 22 April 2013 - 10:00am to Friday, 26 April 2013 - 6:00pm

New trends in migration: Demographic aspects

Members of the Commission

Bureau members

H.E. Ambassador Vlad Lupan (Republic of Moldova) - Eastern-European Group (Chair)
Mr. Juan Carlos Alfonso (Cuba) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Vice-Chair
Mr. Matthias Schikorski (Germany) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Vice-Chair)
H.E. Mr. Eduardo José De Vega (Philippines) - Asia-Pacific Group (Vice-Chair)
H.E. Ambassador Marianne Odette Bibalou (Gabon) - African Group (Vice-Chair)

Population Division - Population trends

Technical paper on data and methods for the production of population estimates

Expert group meeting on methods for the World Population Prospects 2021 and beyond

Overview

Documents

Expert group meeting on fertility, changing population trends and development: Challenges and opportunities for the future

Overview

Documents

Commission on Population and Development, twenty-seventh session (1994)

Monitoring of world population trends and policies, with special emphasis on refugees

Bureau members

Report of the Commission on its Twenty-seventh session

Commission on Population and Development, twenty-eighth session (1995)

Monitoring of world population trends and policies

Bureau Members

Report of the Commission on its twenty-eighth session

Commission on Population and Development, forty-sixth session (2013)

New trends in migration: Demographic aspects

Members of the Commission

Bureau members

Report of the Commission on its 46th session